Post-COVID Syndrome: The Stranger Ghost of Culprit COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Post-COVID syndromes are the most abundant sequel of coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) infection, which affects millions of people around the whole world. There is a significant difference observed during the acute phase as well as during the post-COVID period between patients hospitalized with (alpha, delta, or omicron) severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant. In the present scenario, when most people are vaccinated, COVID-19 disease is less likely, but the remnants of previous COVID-19 infections are still a vast health burden. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective, observational, comparative, and analytical study included a total of 3,840 COVID-19-infected patients who visited the hospital. We included 1,150 patients of alpha variants, 1,845 patients of delta variants, and 815 patients of omicron variants, from June 2020 to November 2020, March 2021 to July 2021, and January 2022 to May 2022, respectively. All medical data of the study population, including hospital stay and vaccination status, were collected, and all patients were followed up for 6 months of duration. All collected data were compiled and analyzed to compare the post-COVID thrombotic and other events among different variants of COVID-19. RESULTS: Patients infected during the delta variant are the most symptomatic at onset (higher prevalence of fever, dyspnea, cough, myalgia, headache, or gastrointestinal problems) than those infected with the alpha or omicron variant (p < 0.01). A total of 2,830 patients (7.48%) [1,520 (82.38%) of delta variant, 598 (73.37%) of omicron variant, and 712 (60.34%) of omicron variant] developed post-COVID syndrome during their follow-up period out of 3,220 enrolled patients and the difference was statistically significant when compared among variants (p < 0.05). In this study, the highly prevalent post-COVID syndrome was mucormycosis (11.41%), followed by new-onset diabetes (9.89%), pulmonary fiosis (7.67%), ischemic heart disease (6.46%), ain stroke (3.29%), and other thromboembolic disorders (2.37%). CONCLUSION: COVID-19-associated onset symptoms during the delta variant were more severe and highly prevalent, while neurological symptoms (aguesia and anosmia) were more common during the alpha variant. Patients infected with the delta variant of COVID-19 are more prone to develop post-COVID-associated complications with minimal risk in the omicron variant and intermediate risk in the alpha variant. Long COVID-19 requires specific attention for management, irrespective of the SARS-CoV-2 variant.

COVID Associated Invasive Aspergillosis.

To study the possible association between invasive fungal sinusitis (aspergillosis) and coronavirus disease. An observational study was conducted at a tertiary care centre over 6 months, involving all patients with aspergillosis of the paranasal sinuses suffering from or having a history of COVID-19 infection. 92 patients presented with aspergillosis, all had an association with COVID-19 disease. Maxillary sinus (100%) was the most common sinus affected. Intraorbital extension was seen in 34 cases, while intracranial extension was seen in 5 cases. Diabetes mellitus was present in 75 of 92 cases. All had a history of steroid use during their coronavirus treatment. New manifestations of COVID-19 are appearing over time. The association between coronavirus and aspergillosis of the paranasal sinuses must be given serious consideration. Uncontrolled diabetes and overzealous use of steroids are two main factors aggravating the illness, and both of these must be properly checked.

Post Covid-19 Sinonasal Candidiasis: A Crisis Within the Pandemic.

The aim of this study was to find out the association of sinonasal candidiasis and Covid-19 infection. A prospective observational study was conducted at a tertiary care centre from April to September 2021, involving all patients with invasive candidiasis of the paranasal sinuses having a history of Covid-19 infection. A total of 18 patients of covid associated sinonasal candidiasis among the 475 cases of fungal rhinosinusitis were studied. All patients had involvement of nose and sinuses and 2 patients had orbital involvement with no loss of vision, while 3 had intracranial extensions and 1 had pulmonary involvement. Mandible was involved in 1 patient alone, while the maxilla and palate were involved in 5 patients. 15 patients were hypertensive, 12 diabetics and 1 had aplastic anaemia. Cultures showed that 8 patients had C. parapsilosis, 5 had C. albicans, 3 had C. tropicalis and 2 had mixed fungal infections. All patients underwent surgical debridement and antifungal administration. They were followed up for a minimum of 3 months. There was only one mortality (with aplastic anaemia), rest 17 were disease free at the time of writing this article. This is perhaps the first case series of post covid sinonasal candidiasis in the world. Invasive sinonasal candidiasis is a newer sequela of COVID-19 infection. Uncontrolled diabetes and over-zealous use of steroids at the time of Covid-19 are few of the known risk factors. Early surgical intervention and anti-fungal treatment should be sought for management.

COVID-19, Diabetes and Steroids: The Demonic Trident for Mucormycosis.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been found to be associated with mucormycosis in few parts of the world, especially India. It is important to look for reasons for this upsurge of cases so that other countries may take proper steps to prevent it. A prospective clinico-demographic study was conducted in SMS Medical College, Jaipur, India from April to May 2021. All patients (235) with COVID associated mucormycosis (CAM) were studied in detail with reference to their diabetic status and steroid intake during treatment of COVID-19. Steroid usage was in 84.3% of patients with methylprednisolone being the most commonly used steroid (66.8%). Majority of the patients had taken steroids for 7-14 days. Diabetes was found in 204 patients and 42.1% of patients were newly diagnosed during/after COVID-19 treatment. The HbA1c levels of diabetic patients ranged from 6.0% to 16.3%. This is perhaps the biggest study in the world shows that the triad of COVID-19, diabetes and steroid usage is a major contributing factor towards mucormycosis. Proper steps should be taken to prevent CAM.

Discharge Planning for People with Inpatient Hyperglycaemia: A Review on Pharmacological Management.

Inadequate glycaemic control post-discharge is the root cause of readmission in people with diabetes mellitus (DM) and is often linked to improper discharge planning (DP). A structured DP plays a crucial role in ensuring continuing home care and avoiding readmissions. DP should help patients in self-care and provide appropriate guidance to maintain optimal glycaemic control. There is a scarcity of reports and recommendations on the proper DP for people with DM on insulin therapy. The present review provides important consideration based on experts' opinions from the National Insulin and Incretin summit (NIIS), focusing on the effective treatment strategies at the time of discharge, especially for insulin therapy. A review of literature from PubMed and Embase was conducted. The consensus was derived, and recommendations were made on effective DP for patients with DM. Recommendations arrived at the NIIS for post-discharge treatment for medical and surgical cases, stress-induced hyperglycaemia, elderly, pregnant women, and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases. The committee also recommended a comprehensive checklist to assist the physicians during discharge.

Genomic profile of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant and its correlation with disease severity in Rajasthan.

Background: Omicron, a new variant of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was first detected in November 2021. This was believed to be highly transmissible and was reported to evade immunity. As a result, an urgent need was felt to screen all positive samples so as to rapidly identify Omicron cases and isolate them to prevent the spread of infection. Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 was planned to correlate disease severity with the genomic profile. Methods: All the SARS-CoV-2 positive cases detected in the state of Rajasthan were sent to our Lab. Samples received from 24 November 2021 to 4 January 2022 were selected for Next-Generation Sequencing (NGS). Processing was done as per protocol on the Ion Torrent S5 System for 1,210 samples and bioinformatics analysis was done. Results: Among the 1,210 samples tested, 762 (62.9%) were Delta/Delta-like and other lineages, 291 (24%) were Omicron, and 157 (12.9%) were invalid or repeat samples. Within a month, the proportion of Delta and other variants was reversed, 6% Omicron became 81%, and Delta and other variants became 19%, initially all Omicron cases were seen in international travelers and their contacts but soon community transmission was seen. The majority of patients with Omicron were asymptomatic (56.7%) or had mild disease (33%), 9.2% had moderate symptoms, and two (0.7%) had severe disease requiring hospitalization, of which one (0.3%) died and the rest were (99.7%) recovered. History of vaccination was seen in 81.1%, of the previous infection in 43.2% of cases. Among the Omicron cases, BA.1 (62.8%) was the predominant lineage followed by BA.2 (23.7%) and B.1.529 (13.4%), rising trends were seen initially for BA.1 and later for BA.2 also. Although 8.9% of patients with Delta lineage during that period were hospitalized, 7.2% required oxygen, and 0.9% died. To conclude, the community spread of Omicron occurred in a short time and became the predominant circulating variant; BA.1 was the predominant lineage detected. Most of the cases with Omicron were asymptomatic or had mild disease, and the mortality rate was very low as compared to Delta and other lineages.

Chest HRCT Assessment of COVID-19 Patients in Vaccinated versus Nonvaccinated Patients: A Comparative Study in a Tertiary Care Hospital.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has turned out to be the most devastating viral disease that the world has encountered for the past century. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared it a pandemic on March 11, 2020. The disease mainly spreads through respiratory droplets which makes social distancing a primary tool of prevention. Many variant strains have emerged up since the pandemic started and the Delta variant is responsible for recent surge of cases in second wave of COVID-19 in India. Mass vaccination is the most efficacious precautionary measure that can be applied to stop the transmission and generate herd immunity. Vaccination does not give 100% prevention from infection, but it halts the severity of infection. Vaccine is the boon amidst the mayhem. Our study highlights that those vaccinated (particularly two doses) had clinically mild symptoms and mild computed tomography severity score (CTSS) with a speedy recovery. Those unvaccinated had moderate to severe symptoms with moderate to severe CTSS (>8) often requiring hospital admission and having poor prognosis. Thus, vaccine helps reduce the health burden of the already strained health care system. Immunization visit can also be used as an opportunity to disseminate message to encourage behavior, to reduce transmission risk of COVID-19 virus, to identify the signs and symptoms of disease, and to provide guidance on what to do.

Circulatory Cytokine Levels as a Predictor of Disease Severity in COVID-19: A Study from Western India.

Inflammatory response in COVID-19 responsible for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and multiorgan failure and play a major role in morbidity and mortality of patients. The present study was undertaken to assess serum level of cytokines and its association with other inflammatory markers and disease severity in COVID-19 and hence their prognostic significance. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study of 175 admitted COVID-19 patients. The patient's clinical data, laboratory investigations, inflammatory markers and serum level of cytokines [interleukin-1ß (IL-1ß), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-10 (IL-10) and tumour necrosis factor α (TNFα)] were extracted from their medical records. All patients were divided into three groups viz. group A had asymptomatic patients, group B had mild to moderate ill patients and group C had severe or critical ill patients. Above parameters were analysed and comparative evaluation with severity of disease was done. RESULTS: & In present study 55% patients were asymptomatic, 24% patients were mild to moderate illness and remaining 21% patients had severe or critical illness. Fever, cough, dyspnoea and co-morbidities including hypertension and diabetes were more common in group C. Absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), lymphocyte monocyte ratio (LMR) showed decreasing trend whereas absolute neutrophil count (ANC), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and eosinophil-lymphocyte (ELR) showed increasing trend with increase in disease severity. Serum IL-6 was found to be significantly higher in group C (64.98±111.18pg/mL) as compared to group B (15.51±20.66pg/mL) and group A (5.04±56.1pg/mL) (P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for IL-6 to differentiate the patients with severe disease from asymptomatic and mild symptomatic disease showed a cut-off of 6.75pg/ml. CONCLUSION: Elevated IL-6 levels lead to adverse clinical events so IL-6 level might serve as a potential prognostic marker for severity of disease in COVID-19. Inhibition of IL-6 might be helpful to prevent serious adverse events in COVID-19 infection.

Orbital magnetic resonance imaging profile and clinicoradiological correlation in COVID-19-associated rhino-orbital-cerebral mucormycosis: A single-center study of 270 patients from North India.

PURPOSE: To study the clinical profile and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features in patients of COVID-19-associated rhino-orbital-cerebral mucormycosis (CA-ROCM) with orbital involvement and perform a clinicoradiological correlation. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed at a tertiary care center in north India from May 2021 to June 2021. Consecutive patients with clinical, nasal endoscopic, and/or microbiological evidence of CA-ROCM underwent MRI of paranasal sinuses, orbit, and brain as per the study protocol. Orbital MRI findings were studied in detail and were correlated with clinical signs. RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy patients were studied. The mean age was 48.4 (± 16.82) years. A male predilection was noted (male:female = 1.77). Orbital involvement was seen in 146 (54%) patients on clinical evaluation and in 184 (68%) patients on MRI. Unilateral orbital involvement was more common (134; 92%). The most common presenting symptom was periorbital and/or facial pain (141; 52.2%) and the most common clinical sign was periorbital edema (116; 43%). The most common MRI finding was suggestive of orbital cellulitis (160; 59%). Orbital compartment syndrome was found in 17 (6.3%) patients. The inter-rater agreement between clinical and radiological assessments to detect the involvement of infraorbital nerve and frontal nerve was found to be 85.56%, (κ 0.621) and 93.70% (κ 0.776), respectively. The diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of MRI to detect medial orbital wall defect were found to be 87.9%, 65%, and 97%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Orbital imaging features of a cohort of ROCM patients have been presented with clinicoradiological correlation.

Very late stent thrombosis associated with COVID-19 infection: a case report and review of the literature.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2 has varied manifestation with multisystem involvement. Acute coronary syndrome in COVID-19 as a result of stent thrombosis is an uncommon entity and is often due to hypercoagulable state. A 40-year-old male was referred to us with acute onset chest pain. He also reported fever, sore throat and dry cough for six days which mandated testing for COVID-19 which turned out to be positive. He had a prior history of coronary artery disease with a drug eluting stent implanted two years back. An electrocardiogram was suggestive of acute anterior wall myocardial infarction while echocardiogram revealed hypokinesia of left anterior descending (LAD) artery territory. Coronary angiogram revealed non-occlusive thrombus in proximal LAD stent. A Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) III flow was restored following balloon angioplasty with a non-compliant balloon and use of glycoprotein (GP) IIb-IIIa receptor antagonist. A diagnosis of very late stent thrombosis subsequent to COVID-19 was made.

Evaluating the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in the intraocular fluid of COVID-19 patients.

PURPOSE: To detect the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in aqueous and vitreous humor of COVID-19 patients in a pilot study. METHODS: : Consecutive patients planned for emergency ophthalmic surgeries after ocular trauma were subjected to naso-oropharyngeal RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2. Laboratory-confirmed cases were enrolled for the study. During surgery, 0.1 mL aqueous and vitreous each was aspirated. The vitreous tap was collected on clinical suspicion of endophthalmitis. RT-PCR test was used to detect SARS-COV-2 nucleotide in the samples. Cycle threshold (Ct) for E gene of ≤35 along with confirmatory results on one of the two target genes (RdRp or ORF1b) was considered as positive. RESULTS: : One hundred and thirty two patients were found positive on naso-oropharyngeal RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 preoperatively. Seven patients with ocular trauma were studied. The mean age was 31.8 years. There were six male and one female patient. Two patients had symptoms of mild COVID-19 disease and the rest were asymptomatic. The mean Ct value of the E gene on naso-oropharyngeal RT-PCR was 23.14 ± 4.7. Corneal and corneoscleral laceration repair was done in five patients, intracorneal wooden foreign body was removed in one patient, and injection of intravitreal antibiotics was done in one patient. Aqueous and vitreous tap was collected in 7 and 5 patients, respectively. None of the aqueous or vitreous samples was found positive for SARS-CoV-2. CONCLUSION: : SARS-CoV-2 was not detected by RT-PCR in aqueous or vitreous humor in this pilot study. Future studies with a larger sample size are needed to further explore the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in intraocular fluids.

Clinical and epidemiological profile of Indian COVID-19 patients from Jaipur: a descriptive study.

We analyzed the data of 102 confirmed patients with novel Coronavirus 2 infection (COVID-19) during the early period of nationwide lockdown announced in India after the declaration of pandemic. We analyzed epidemiological, clinical characteristics and outcome of hospitalization in 102 patients with positive results for novel corona virus (SARS-CoV-2) RNA testing which were traced on the basis of history of travel, contact with a confirmed COVID-19 case, resident of hotspot areas or presence of symptoms, thus providing an accurate estimate of the proportion of asymptomatic cases in the initial population. Of 102 patients enrolled in the study, 83.3% (85/102) were asymptomatic and 16.67% (17/102) were symptomatic. Seventy-seven (75.49%) were males and 24.50% (25/102) were females. Eighteen (17.6%) patients had associated comorbidities, the most prevalent of which were diabetes mellitus 10.8% (11/102), hypertension 7.8% (8/102), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in 3.92% (4/102), chronic kidney Disease (CKD) 0.98% (1/102), coronary artery Disease (CAD) 0.98% (1/102) and cerebro-vascular disease (CVD) 0.98% (1/102). The clinical spectrum among symptomatic COVID-19 patients varied from dry cough and fever to respiratory failure and multi-organ failure. Twelve (11.76%) patients were kept in intensive care unit (ICU). Ninety-nine (97.05%) patients recovered while three (2.94%) died during hospital stay. With majority of COVID-19 cases in India being asymptomatic, changes in biochemical and inflammatory profile were small and insignificant in asymptomatic patients when compared to symptomatic patients. Elevated NLR, lymphopenia, age and presence of comorbidities were associated with increased severity and poor outcome.

Demystifying COVID-19 lung pathology: A clinicopathological study of postmortem core needle biopsy.

BACKGROUND: Atypical presentation of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) from classic acute respiratory distress syndrome needs to be extensively evaluated to understand the pathophysiology to optimize the management protocol for severely ill patients to abrogate the terminal event. METHODS: Autopsy core needle biopsies of lungs were obtained from 12 patients who died with COVID-19. Routine histopathological examination of lung tissue along with immunohistochemical analysis of C4d complement staining was studied. Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded biopsy material was also subjected to real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction for severe acute respiratory syndrome - coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) gene. RESULTS: In the study, all the deceased patients were symptomatic with two-thirds suffering from isolated SARS-CoV2-related pneumonia while remaining one-third had secondary COVID-19 infection. Histopathological evaluation highlights diffuse alveolar damage as the predominant pattern; however, complement-mediated endothelial injury of septal microvasculature, and microthrombi was also distinctly observed with increased serum levels of D-Dimer and fibrinogen-degradation products. The patients who had extrapulmonary manifestations at the time of presentation also showed pulmonary vascular lesions on histopathologic examination. Our study confirms the presence of coagulopathy and immune-mediated microthrombi in pulmonary septal microvasculature in patients with severe disease. CONCLUSION: The results of our small series of patients highlight the possibility of immune-mediated pulmonary vascular injury and thrombosis which has the potential to evolve into large vessel thrombosis and pulmonary embolism in critically ill patients. Definitive therapeutic management protocol including thromboembolic prophylaxis and development of effective immune-modulatory target could possibly reduce mortality in severely ill patients.

Tocilizumab: An Effective Therapy for Severely and Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients.

Background: Tocilizumab (TCZ), a monoclonal antibody against the most prevalent cytokine interleukin-6 (IL-6), is an emerging therapeutic option for COVID-19 infections. The present study was undertaken to assess the therapeutic response of TCZ therapy in severely or critically ill COVID-19 patients and its role as an effective modality of management. Methods: The present retrospective observational study included 30 admitted severely or critically ill COVID-19 patients, treated with TCZ therapy on behalf of raised IL-6 levels. The patients' data concerning medical history, clinical manifestation, arterial blood gas analysis, mode of oxygenation, radiological imaging, and outcome were extracted from their medical records and compared pre- and post-TCZ infusion. Results: All patients of the study group had symptomatic presentations with a mean PaO2/FiO2 (P/F) ratio of 205.41 before TCZ infusion. All patients had a raised IL-6 level (mean value 206.56 pg/mL) that was extremely elevated in 90% of patients. Infusion of TCZ dramatically reduced mean body temperature (100.78-99.32°F) and the requirement for supplemental oxygen (68-48%) and improved mean SpO2 (86-89%) and mean P/F ratio (208-240) within 24 hours. Three patients on noninvasive ventilation were weaned off after TCZ infusion. Serum levels of IL-6 were raised initially but declined within 3-5 days of post-TCZ infusion. Conclusion: TCZ appears to be an effective therapeutic option in severely or critically ill COVID-19 patients with raised IL-6 levels. TCZ immediately improves the clinical status of patients by a probable mechanism of inhibition of cytokine storm and reduces COVID-19-related mortalities. How to cite this article: Bhandari S, Rankawat G, Singh A. Tocilizumab: An Effective Therapy for Severely and Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients. Indian J Crit Care Med 2021;25(3):260-266.

Role of portable chest radiography in management of COVID-19: Experience of 422 patients from a tertiary care center in India.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze radiological changes in portable chest radiographs in coronavirus disease-19(COVID-19) patients to optimize the management of hospitalized patients. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 638 portable radiographs of 422 hospitalized COVID-19 patients with RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 infection. All the radiographs were reported in a structured format by two experienced radiologists. A severity score was assigned to every Chest Xray (CXR) and correlation was done with the CT scans whenever available. RESULTS: Out of 422 baseline portable radiographs assessed, the ratio of male: female patients was 337:85 that is 79.8% were males and 20.14% were females. The mean age was 50.5 years and the range was 17-84 years. Of these 422 patients, 187 patients (44.3%) had abnormal baseline CXR. 161 out of 187 (86%) had either typical or indeterminate findings for COVID-19 pneumonia, rest 26 (13.9%) patients had CXR findings not consistent with COVID-19, like pleural effusion, hydropneumothorax, or lung cavity. Most commonly observed CXR findings in COVID 19 pneumonia were bilateral, multifocal air space opacities (consolidation and ground-glass opacities) predominantly involving lower zones and peripheral lung fields. X-ray identifiable lung changes of COVID-19 were mostly seen at 9-11 days after symptom onset. CONCLUSION: The presence of multifocal air-space opacities with bilateral, peripheral distribution on chest radiograph is highly suggestive of COVID-19 pneumonia in this pandemic setting. Portable chest radiography is a widely available and quicktool for estimating the evolution and assessing the severity of lung involvement of COVID-19 pneumonia in hospitalized symptomatic patients.

Relationship Between ABO Blood Group Phenotypes and nCOVID-19 Susceptibility – a Retrospective Observational Study

Background: Since the outbreak of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) research has been continued to explore multiple facets of the disease. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the relationship between blood group phenotypes and COVID-19 susceptibility. Methods: In this retrospective observational study 132 hospitalised COVID-19 patients were enrolled from the Swai Man Singh (SMS) Medical Hospital in Jaipur, India after receiving approval from the Institutional ethics committee. The ABO, Rh and Kell blood group phenotypes along with demographic data of the patients were recorded. The observed proportions of ‘A’, ‘B’, ‘AB’, ‘O’, ‘Rh’ and ‘Kell’ blood groups in COVID-19 patients were compared against the expected proportions (the null hypothesis) of the general population using Pearson’s Chi-squared test and partition analysis. Results: There were significant differences between observed and expected frequency for the ABO and Kell blood phenotypes. Further partition analysis of ABO phenotypes showed that the group ‘A’ phenotypes were more susceptible to COVID-19. The Kell negatives were also more susceptible. The blood groups ‘AB’, ‘B’, ‘O’ and ‘Rh’ showed no significant difference for susceptibility to COVID-19. Conclusion: The study shows a relationship between ABO, Rh and Kell blood groups and COVID-19 susceptibility. The application of these relationships in clinics should be explored in future studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of Scripta Medica is the property of Scripta Medica and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Patient Flow Dynamics in Hospital Systems During Times of COVID-19: Cox Proportional Hazard Regression Analysis.

Objectives: The present study is aimed at estimating patient flow dynamic parameters and requirement for hospital beds. Second, the effects of age and gender on parameters were evaluated. Patients and Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, 987 COVID-19 patients were enrolled from SMS Medical College, Jaipur (Rajasthan, India). The survival analysis was carried out from February 29 through May 19, 2020, for two hazards: Hazard 1 was hospital discharge, and Hazard 2 was hospital death. The starting point for survival analysis of the two hazards was considered to be hospital admission. The survival curves were estimated and additional effects of age and gender were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Results: The Kaplan Meier estimates of lengths of hospital stay (median = 10 days, IQR = 5-15 days) and median survival rate (more than 60 days due to a large amount of censored data) were obtained. The Cox model for Hazard 1 showed no significant effect of age and gender on duration of hospital stay. Similarly, the Cox model 2 showed no significant difference of age and gender on survival rate. The case fatality rate of 8.1%, recovery rate of 78.8%, mortality rate of 0.10 per 100 person-days, and hospital admission rate of 0.35 per 100,000 person-days were estimated. Conclusion: The study estimates hospital bed requirements based on median length of hospital stay and hospital admission rate. Furthermore, the study concludes there are no effects of age and gender on average length of hospital stay and no effects of age and gender on survival time in above-60 age groups.